The COMEX (US Metal Exchange) - Copper prices in the United States are currently trading at $3.82/lb on the CME. Copper base metal, traditionally regarded as a leading indicator of economic health, has had a difficult year. Analysts predict a resurgence in 2023, even though the global outlook remains highly uncertain.
Copper prices rose on Thursday, boosted by data showing that the rapid rise in consumer prices in the United States is slowing. According to the US Labor Department, annual inflation slowed to 7.1% in November, down from 7.7% in October. The monthly rate and core figures surprised, indicating that the worst inflationary pressures are behind us and that interest rate hikes will be slower in the US.
Copper inventories are still visible and at lower levels, with Goldman Sachs predicting a supply deficit in 2023 and prices of $11,000 per year. In November, China produced 899,600 mt of copper cathode, a 0.2% monthly decrease but an 8.9% increase yearly. The output was 3,700 mt less than expected, at 903,300 mt. From January to November, output totalled 9.41 million mt, an increase of 3.37% or 306,500 mt years on year.
Also weighing on sentiment and lower inflation rate, prompting the US Federal Reserve to increase the interest rate hikes this week. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to raise interest rates this week.
According to CITIC Futures, global central banks will likely maintain tight monetary policies, slowing global economic growth and dampening copper demand in the face of rising supply in the market. As a result, we can anticipate that, aside from the United States, the global economy will suffer from higher interest rate hikes in the coming days.
Copper Price Predictions: Goldman Sachs and Bank of America believe that a combination of short-term supply constraints and long-term energy transition-related demand will drive the red metal higher.
Goldman raised its 12-month forecast to $11,000/t from $9,000/t last week and its 2023 average price forecast to $9,750/t and $12,000/t, respectively. According to Bank of America commodity strategists, Copper could reach $12,000 per ton in the second quarter of 2023.
The Reddish Berry Base metal is Trading at $3.82 per Pound in the CME futures.
Copper Scrap prices in the United States have upsurge and are trading at,
Copper No.1 Scrap Prices (US): 3.23 USD/Lbs.
Copper No.2 Scrap Prices (US): 2.84 USD/Lbs.
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